An unsophisticated forecaster uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts - for support rather than for illumination.

An unsophisticated forecaster uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts - for support rather than for illumination.

一个没有经验的预报员使用统计数据，就像一个醉汉使用灯柱一样——用来支撑而不是照明。

-- Andrew Lang 安德鲁·朗格